Midgies & Butterflies

The old adage about events being the undoing of political plans has perhaps been uncomfortably appropriate for First Minister Nicola Sturgeon over the past week.

Ms Sturgeon had been taking advantage of the seismic upheavals caused by the Brexit referendum vote and wasted no time in capitalising on the lack of leadership shown by David Cameron and the pathetically adrift Jeremy Corbyn. She and her colleagues have been beating the drums for Scotland to stay in the EU and brandishing what they perceive to be their trump card – the threat of another Indy Ref. It seemed to be golden days for the Nats.

However, in politics the alchemy of events can quickly turn gold to dust or, to use the Scottish vernacular, stoor.

The Premiership transition from Cameron to May and the bold new broom the incoming PM has applied to the Cabinet has helped to sweep away post-Brexit uncertainties and fill what many considered to be a leadership vacuum. Moreover, big beast Brexiteers have been put in key positions in the Cabinet, with a clear message being sent that Britain means business on delivering the referendum mandate of LEAVE. May also astutely binned the toxic Michael Gove, whose perceived treachery would have undermined any benefit he brought to the table.

Theresa May also grasped the thistle by coming north to meet Sturgeon as a priority. Mere rhetoric or not, her speech on entering Number Ten may have been the first salvo in a campaign to outdo Sturgeon and others on their home ground of social justice. In short, Sturgeon may be about to be matched up by perhaps the one person who can – another strong-willed woman. Few would doubt Theresa May’s credentials on that score but dealing with Nicola Sturgeon is not her only priority. May herself could be undone by events, particularly given her wider range of pressing issues, Brexit being a very big example.

The Nats’ bargaining power is based on their ability to bluster and harass, more than any real threat. The fact is, that once Brexit becomes an ongoing process, EU leaders will abandon their anti-British narrative and adopt a pragmatic approach to matters of trade. The UK government will do what it always does and tie up loose ends in the ensuing trade deals. One of those loose ends will be an agreement that precludes an independent Scotland from being allowed to enter the EU. When faced with a stark choice between British billions in trade and taking on the hapless deficit of Sturgeon and Salmond’s Caledonia, EU chiefs will vote with their best interests at heart. The reality is that Sturgeon has nothing to offer the EU other than a chance to annoy UK governments.

Theresa May knows this and certainly Alex Salmond knows this. What the Nats don’t want is their core fanatics knowing this but given that up to a third of SNP supporters are Euro-sceptic, selling Indy to get the EU is a hard row to hoe for Salmond and the First Minister. The SNP problem is a perpetual one – they are a jukebox with one song and that song is independence. IndyRef 2 itself could be a hard sell, although the ironclad resistance by the greatly-strengthened Ruth Davidson has seemingly evaporated. Odd that in a time of growing power and influence, she should allow her pouting over the LEAVE vote to give her apparent wobblies on independence.

A strong woman in Number Ten is arguably the one event our First Minister did not want to encounter. Wiping the floor with the posh boys is one thing. Dealing with the ice and steel of May and her tough-nosed new Cabinet is a whole new ballgame.

Another event that does not do much to help Sturgeon’s lovefest with the EU is the terrible atrocity in Nice. Mainland Europe is now very much a primary target for terrorists and only bolsters the case for Briexit. A Britain with tough border controls and a zealous counter-terrorism culture is the safe option for anyone concerned with terror attacks. Continued association with the EU and its attendant border/migrant problems is a recipe for disaster, particularly as it would necessitate border controls between England and Scotland, should Scotland go independent within the EU.

And then there is Turkey. It is no secret that Turkey was/is being primed for EU membership. Looking at what is going on there, how can any responsible political leader make the case for being part of the EU if that membership is still a viable possibility? Economic uncertainties, the migrant issue, growing Euroscepticism, Britain leaving, rampant terrorism.unstable states being mooted for membership – what’s not to love about the EU? The fact is that the EU is falling apart and any attempt to be part of it based on racial hatred of the English is not only preposterous, it is monstrously immoral. And it is sad that this hatred is more important to hardcore Nats than any other motivating force.

What’s more is that EU leaders are not conned. They are aware that this hatred is the driving force of Scottish nationalism. And many of them have rabid separatist movements to contend with in their own back yards. Any pretence of internationalist ideals and EU lovin’ by the SNP government in Holyrood is easily seen through by these leaders.

We live in times of golden opportunity. And this is very applicable to the SNP. The problem is that, in its misplaced zeal for an unworkable independence, the SNP is missing the chance to do truly great things for Scotland. Why leave a Britain that can be influenced and led by Scots at this most opportune time? Why choose the politics of grievance – much of it imagined – over the chance to create a forward-looking society where all who live in these islands can live? Why choose hatred, isolation and self-absorption over peaceful co-operation, mutual interest and conjoined destiny?

With the astonishing self-destruction of Labour – and the apparent redundancy of UKIP – the SNP could arguably be the credible opposition in Westminster for years to come. Does Nicola Sturgeon really intend to be “wee Nippy” in perpetuity, biting away at Tory governments in escalating spite? Or can she rise above her own prejudices and take a statesmanlike role in a new chapter for the British Isles, one where the influence and voice of the peripheries is heard and valued as it should be?

No doubt some are reading who would say I was better asking can a midgie become a butterfly.

Ms Sturgeon would be best-advised that she is First Minister of all the people in Scotland. That includes the majority who voted against the independence pipedream only two years ago, as well as the substantial amount of people – including SNP voters – who voted to leave the EU.

Nicola Sturgeon is no Moses. She has no Canaan land to offer, only the wilderness. Should she win a referendum to take us out of the UK, that is the stark reality. And should she lose, the verdict of her predecessor should give her much to chew on.

According to Mr Salmond, if you lose a referendum, you have to go.

 

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8 thoughts on “Midgies & Butterflies

  1. Another great blog Bill. Nicola Sturgeon does not do my blood pressure any favours, she is to put it bluntly a contemptible bigoted fascist. Contemptible because she provokes scorn for her low standing in any scale of values. She does not value the result in both referendums that saw Scotland stay in the UK, and the value of the vote to leave the EU, as Scotland is part of the UK (could somebody please remind her of that fact). She is a bigot because her party is grounded on a hatred for England, and she is a Fascist as she is authoritarian, and undemocratic.
    I don’t know why Theresa May gave this pathetic wee beggar the time of day. If I had been Theresa May I would have sent her a letter along these words:

    Dear Ms Sturgeon,

    Thanks for your invitation to meet me at Bute House to discuss Scotland’s options regarding the EU referendum vote. Unfortunately, since Scotland is part of the United Kingdom, due to the overwhelming vote in the 2014 referendum, I do not feel there is anything to discuss.

    I don’t know if you saw my reaction to Brexit, but I did say Brexit means Brexit, and is only fair that the 40% of Scots who voted to leave the EU, that the democratic process is followed through. It would not be reasonable to have a separate negotiation for London who voted to remain, therefore why should I consider this for Scotland?

    Instead of causing more division, and bad feeling not only in Scotland, but also the rest of the UK, would it not be more constructive to use your extensive devolved powers to do some good for the people of Scotland, instead of wasting tax payers money on trying to construct another expensive referendum?

    Yours truly,

    Theresa May,
    Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party

    I don’t think Theresa May is a good choice for the Brexit vote, since she was a remainer, and already is set on delaying the article 50 trigger to leave the EU. This article 50 should have been triggered immediately by Cameron, as, the EU have more to lose than the UK in this Fascist dictatorship.

    I won’t believe we will get out of the EU until it actually happens. They have overcome too many obstacles in the past, and with their huge arsenal of money and influence from the banks and multi-nationals, not to mention the puppets in America, it will take a lot to shake them off.

    The fact that many SNP supporters backed to leave the EU shows that there are ‘genuine’ Independence SNP voters. Nicola Sturgeon is panicking, as she knows that her brand of SNP, has always been linked to a euro currency and budget, that would come from Brussels. Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan financed her remain campaign, and they are prominent players in the EU.

    It may also be interesting to note Bill, that the three prominent players in the second world war that tried to fast track us to a EU dictatorship i.e. Hitler, Mussolini, and Franco, were all devout Romanists backed by the Vatican. The same is true for the three founding fathers of the EU, namely Konrad Adenauer, Robert Schuman, and Alicide De Gasperi, three devout Romanists who have been beatified by the Vatican, the first stage in Sainthood.

    As they say – all roads lead to Rome.

    • ZoH,

      I think we have to ask ourselves if the EU is the problem here…….i mean, they have an agenda and they are only trying to play it out.

      The real problem is our own elected officials – who initially gave away our powers in 1975 via a Referendum where we were told that we would be joining a ‘Common Market’ (only) and not the political and fiscal – as well as economic – union that they are trying to achieve nowadays (where, also, those changes were given away without a plebiscite……a la Gordon Brown and The Lisbon Treaty).

      But, yes, again, we have Mrs Murrell wanting to give away all that Scotland has to the EU…….so, finally, it really does come down to ourselves – each and everyone of us – to start to do some thinking and, as Bill says, take a stance and demand that Scotland works fruitfully for a better union with our strongest partner – the UK.

      SS

      • You are right soapysouter, our democracy has been taken from us all since 1975. What was meant to be a trade deal only, has developed into a total eclipse of our sovereignty. The politicians that have done this had no right to do so, and they forget they are our servants, but act like our masters. The have sold our birth rights, that our forefathers fought bravely to secure for us, and in that I label them as traitors to the country. the worst perpetrator was Tony (first on the lifeboat) Blair.
        The government were basically for remain, and we got their propaganda. Cameron is from a banking dynasty family, and most of the politicians are career politicians and will do what they think will benefit them, and that is the problem. There are very few principled politicians left out there, and this is why getting rid of the EU will be very difficult, as the families that head these multi-nationals and banks will just pull out there wallets and make sure they get what they want in the end.
        The referendum was a gamble by Cameron, in as much as a calculated one that he thought he was sure to win. With the media and the bought and soldt arts and entertainment industry that has enjoyed loads of EU money, they were sure they would convince the public to remain. (i don’t think I’ve seen so many long faces in the BBC, the morning after the result). However, this victory has shown that people are now thinking for themselves, and are not being suckered into more of their lies. If you come home from work and don’t submit to junk TV and the news channels you are given, and do some research, there is a different world out there working against you.
        It is interesting to note that Nigel Farage started off as a Green Party member, because they were very euro-sceptic at the beginning, unfortunately, like many parties, have been bought and sold into the big EU lie, and I’m afraid it is the money and power that is winning.

  2. Hi Bill,
    Another great blog and certainly gives us hope with so much going on.I had good idea that PM May would come up here first as Scotland has larger population than N Ireland/Wales.So with doing that it’s stopped fish face from moaning about that aspect of things.One thing I did notice when PM arrived at Bute House wee fishy was out on steps to greet her with usual “take our photos now”. Then a very strange thing happened because she never came back out after the meeting to bid PM goodbye. So did she get her come uppance and was left spitting out her dummy.😄

  3. Well said Bill, Sturgeon wants to stay in a failed corrupt EU when we are part of uk which is the 5th largest economy in the world, if the worst ever happened and we got independence we would become a banana rerepublic or if we joined the EU we would end up like Greece.
    Sturgeon also wants to get rid of nuclear missiles…..sorry but she is now in a minority government so unless the greens prop her up she is wasting her time trying to stop the vote in Westminster tomorrow………does she not realise the amount of jobs that would be lost at Faslane, you are right if Westminster says black she would say white because of her hatred of the English, we are all part of the UK lets keep it that way and move on.

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